Tag Archives: Federal Reserve

Why Interest Rate Psychology Will Change By Late 2016

Wall Streeters disagree about when the Fed will start to tighten (September?, December?) but most agree that once it gets started the pace of tightening will be exceeeeeeedingly gradual. An overleveraged US in a weak world economy supposedly requires easy … Continue reading

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Get Set for Fed Rate Hikessssss

Item: In a major new report, a blue-ribbon panel of economists estimates that if all the brain power expended over the past 20 years forecasting the next move by the Federal Reserve had, instead, been used for productive endeavors, U.S. … Continue reading

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Fed Survey: Obamacare Impedes Hiring, Curbs Wage Gains

Although Chair Yellen is still mum on the topic, Federal Reserve economists have belatedly started to study the impact of Obamacare on employment and wages. Economists in three regions (San Francisco, Philadelphia, New York) used identical questions to survey employers … Continue reading

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How to Play the Coming Bust in the Yellen Bond Bubble

It’s starting to get a little weird. Here we are, more than five years into an economic recovery, with an improving employment picture, strong stock market, OK housing market, strong auto demand . . . and the Fed is still … Continue reading

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Benign Deflation . . . or . . . Central Bankers Gone Wild

On Wall Street, alas, no bad deed goes unrewarded. After failing to anticipate even one of the past three recessions, and after sitting idly by during the housing bubble as the “safety and soundness” of the U.S. banking system evaporated, … Continue reading

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Larry, Janet, and Democrats’ War on Women

Lecherous Democrats Bill Clinton, Anthony Weiner, Bob Filner and Elliott Spitzer have given a whole new meaning to the phrase “hands-on management.”  But nearly as indefensible is Obama’s desire to name Larry Summers, rather than Janet Yellen, to replace Ben … Continue reading

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